26 February 2016

FTAs have led to more imports than exports: Economic Survey

FTAs have led to more imports than exports: Economic Survey

The 42 free trade agreements signed by India so far have led to more imports than exports as the country has had to go for larger tariff reductions than its FTA partners 
 The 42 free trade agreements (FTAs) signed by India so far have led to more imports than exports as the country has had to go for larger tariff reductions than its FTA partners because of relatively high tariffs, the Economic Survey 2015-16 said.
Mint reported on 16 February that the survey will assess the impact of FTAs on India.
The survey said that in the current context of slowing demand and excess capacity, with threats of circumvention of trade rules, progress on FTAs, if pursued, must be combined with strengthening of India’s ability to respond with measures consistent with the World Trade Organization, such as anti-dumping and conventional duties and safeguard measures.
“Analytical and other preparatory work must begin in earnest to prepare India for a mega-regional world,” it said.
The survey said in the case of the Asean (Association of South East Asian Nations) FTA, India has benefitted on both sides of trade flows, with a statistically significant 33% increase in exports and 79% increase in imports.
“The trade increases have been much greater with Asean than other FTAs and they have been greater in certain industries such as metals on the import side. On the export side, FTAs have led to increased dynamism in apparel, especially in Asean markets,” it said.
The survey said the overall effect of an FTA on trade is positive and statistically significant. “The cumulative effect between the year of the FTA and 2013 on trade with ASEAN, Japan, and Korea is approximately equal to 50%. India’s increased trade with FTA countries is not due to diversion of imports from more efficient non-FTA countries,” it said.
On the import side, a 10% reduction in FTA tariffs for metals and machinery increased imports by 1.4% and 2.1%, respectively, compared to other products from FTAs or all products from non-FTA countries, the survey said.

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